l’Opep maintient ses prévisions de croissance de la demande pour 2025 et 2026
Summary of OPEC’s Oil Demand Projections for 2025 and 2026
In a recent report, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) reaffirmed its forecasts for global oil demand growth for both 2025 and 2026, despite existing economic and geopolitical uncertainties. According to OPEC’s monthly update, the organization anticipates an increase of 1.3 million barrels per day (mb/d) in oil demand for both years, maintaining the previous month’s estimates.
For 2025, total global oil consumption is projected to reach 105.1 million barrels per day. The demand from OECD (Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development) countries, which includes many developed nations, is expected to rise by approximately 0.2 mb/d, whereas non-OECD countries will see a more significant increase of over 1.1 mb/d.
In 2026, the expected growth remains consistent at 1.3 mb/d, with non-OECD nations projected to contribute a larger share of this increase—1.2 mb/d compared to a modest 0.1 mb/d from OECD countries. The total demand is expected to reach 106.4 million barrels per day in 2026.
On the supply side, OPEC noted that production from non-OPEC countries is also expected to rise, with an increase of 0.8 mb/d in 2025, bringing the total non-OPEC output to around 54 mb/d. This robust demand trajectory has led OPEC’s Secretary General, Haitham Al-Ghais, to comment on the persistent record highs in oil demand during a roundtable discussion at the Energy Asia Conference in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.
Overall, these projections reflect OPEC’s analysis of evolving market conditions and reinforce the continued significance of oil, particularly in emerging economies. The organization’s consistent outlook suggests confidence in oil’s role in the energy mix, even amidst external pressures and uncertainties.
This summary encapsulates the key points from the original content to provide a clearer overview of OPEC’s expectations for future oil demand and supply dynamics.
